Chhattisgarh Exit Poll 2018: BJP's Raman Singh likely to lose state after 15 years, Ajit Jogi to be kingmaker

New Delhi, News Nation Bureau | Updated : 08 December 2018, 08:18 AM

Chhattisgarh Exit Poll 2018: BJP's Raman Singh is likely to lose Chhattisgarh this time. According to News Nation Exit Poll, the BJP is likely to get only 38 to 42 Assembly seats. The Congress is likely to emerge as the single largest party with 40 to 44 seats. Congress rebel Ajit Jogi along with Mayawati's BSP can play a role of the kingmaker. The Jogi-led JCC and BSP alliance is likely to get 4 to 8 seats in the Assembly. The BJP is projected to get 38 per cent of votes, while the Congress is likely to get 41 per cent of votes. The Jogi-led alliance is projected to get 13 per cent of votes. In 2013, the BJP had won 49 seats with 41.04 per cent of votes. The Congress had won 39 seats with 40.29 per cent of votes. Unemployment (17 per cent) and inflation (17 per cent) are the two biggest issues for the Chhattisgarh voters. 13 per cent of voters picked corruption as their biggest issue in these elections. BJP's Raman Singh is still the top choice for chief minister's position with 33 per cent votes. Congress state chief Bhupesh Bhagel is at number 2 with 18 per cent of votes. Ajit Jogi is a distant number 3 with only 9 per cent of votes.

Chief Minister Raman Singh, like his counterpart Madhya Pradesh Chief Minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan, is also facing the anti-incumbency of BJP's 15-year rule in Chhattisgarh. The Assembly elections to the 90-member strong Assembly was held in two phases on November 12 and 20. The counting of votes will take place along with Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Mizoram and Telangana on December 11. Chhattisgarh recorded an overall turnout of 76.35 per cent in the two-phase Assembly elections. The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and the Congress are the two main parties in the state but the state has witnessed a triangular contest this time with the emergence of Ajit Jogi-BSP alliance. 

Also Read: Madhya Pradesh Exit Poll 2018: Shivraj Singh Chouhan likely to retain power in neck-and-neck fight with Congress

However, different exit polls have predicted different results in Chhattisgarh. According to India News MP-NETA, ABP News-CSDS, Times Now-CNX and India TV, the BJP is likely to emerge as the single largest party in the state. But according to Republic C-Voter, News 24-Pace Media and India Today-Axis exit polls, the Congress is the single largest party. 

Also Read: Rajasthan Exit Poll 2018: Congress to wrest power from BJP, likely to get 103 seats

LIVE Updates:

19:00 pm: ABP News-CSDS Exit Poll for Chhattisgarh: BJP: 52, Congress: 35, Others: 3.

18:50 pm: India News MP-NETA Exit Poll for Chhattisgarh: BJP: 43, Congress: 40, JCC-BSP: 6, Others: 1.

18:40 pm: India Today-Axis My India Exit Poll for Chhattisgarh: Congress: 55-65, BJP: 21-31, JCC-BSP: 4-8.

18:30 pm: Republic C-Voter Exit Poll for Chhattisgarh: BJP: 35-43, Congress: 40-50, JCC-BSP: 3-7.

18:25 pm: Times Now-CNX Exit Poll for Chhattisgarh: BJP: 46, Congress: 35, JCC-BSP: 7, Others: 2.

18:15 pm: News 24-Pace Media Exit Poll for Chhattisgarh: BJP: 36-42, Congress: 45-51, Others: 4-8.

18:06 pm: India TV-CNX Exit Poll for Chhattisgarh: BJP 42-50, Congress 32-38, BSP-JCCJ 6-8, Others 1-3. Region: Raipur (20): BJP 11, Congress 8, Others 1. Durg (20): BJP 10, Congress 10, Bilaspur (24): BJP 10, Congress 8, BSP-JCCJ 6, Bastar (12): BJP 9, Congress 3, Sarguja(14): BJP 6, Congress 6, BSP-JCCJ 1, Others 1.

17:50 pm: What is the biggest issue in Chhattisgarh? Unemployment: 17%, Agriculture: 8%, Corruption: 13%, Inflation: 17%, Others: 45%.


17:45 pm: Who is the first choice for Chief Minister in Chhattisgarh? Raman Singh leads with 33%, Bhupesh Bhagel: 18%, Ajit Jogi: 9%, Others: 40%.


17:35 pm: News Nation Exit Poll Results: Seat share projections: BJP: 38-42, Congress: 40-44, Ajit Jogi-led JCC and BSP alliance: 4-8, Others to get 0-4 seats.


17:30 pm: News Nation Exit Poll Results: Vote share projections - BJP: 38%, Congress: 41%, Ajit Jogi-led JCC and BSP alliance: 13%, Others to get 8% votes.


17:23 pm: In the 2013 Assembly polls, there was a close fight between the Congress and the BJP. The difference was just 0.75 per cent between both the parties.

17:18 pm: Chhattisgarh exit poll at 5:30 pm. Stay tuned with us.

17:14 pm: Who will win Chhattisgarh - BJP, Congress or Ajit Jogi-BSP alliance? Know here shortly.

17:10 pm: Exit Poll results for Chhattisgarh shortly. Stay tuned.

17:02 pm: Chhattisgarh has witnessed a triangular contest for the first time.

16:58 pm: First exit poll trends for Chhattisgarh shortly. Stay tuned with us.

16:52 pm: Raman Singh is seeking a record fourth term in Chhattisgarh.

16:49 pm: Raman Singh has been in power in Chhattisgarh since 2003.

16:46 pm: Chhattisgarh recorded an overall turnout of 76.35 per cent in the two-phase Assembly elections.

16:43 pm: The counting of votes in Chhattisgarh will take place along with Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Mizoram and Telangana on December 11.

16:40 pm: The Congress has opted for Karuna Shukla, niece of former prime minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee, against the chief minister.

16:37 pm: Chief Minister Raman Singh is again contesting from Rajnandgaon Assembly seat.

16:34 pm: The Ajit Jogi-BSP alliance is likely to give a tough fight to both the BJP and the Congress.

16:32 pm: The majority mark in the Chhattisgarh Assembly is 46.

16:29 pm: The first trends for Chhattisgarh Exit Poll are likely to come at 5 pm.

16:26 pm: In the 2013 Assembly elections, the BJP had received 41.04 per cent of votes. The Congress had received 40.29 per cent of votes.

16:23 pm: In the 2013 Assembly elections, the BJP had won 49 seats. The Congress party was able to win 39 seats.

16:20 pm: Chhattisgarh has 90 seats in the Legislative Assembly.

16:14 pm: Chhattisgarh Chief Minister Raman Singh is facing a 15-year-old anti-incumbency. 

16:10 pm: Tune in to News Nation as we bring to you one of the most accurate EXIT POLLS, LIVE – 5:00 PM onwards today. Join us using #NNExitPoll.

Raman Singh has been ruling the state uninterrupted since 2003. The party had stormed to power in 2003 and ousted then Congress chief minister Ajit Jogi. The BJP had won 50 seats with 39.26 per cent of votes, while the Congress had managed to win only 37 seats with 36.71 per cent of votes. The BSP had won 2 seats with 4.45 per cent of votes. In 2008 also, the BJP retained the state under the leadership of Raman Singh. The party had again won 50 seats with 40.33 per cent of votes, while the Congress had emerged victorious on 38 seats with 38.63 per cent of votes. The BSP was able to win 2 seats with an impressive vote share of 6.11 per cent.
In 2013, the BJP was able to come back to power for the third consecutive term. The party had won 49 seats with 41.04 per cent of votes. The Congress had won 39 seats with 40.29 per cent of votes. The difference between the two parties was just 0.75 per cent of votes. The BJP had received 53,65,272 votes while the Congress had managed to get 52,67,298 votes. The BSP had just won a single seat but again received more than 4 per cent of votes. But this time, the Congress is hoping to snatch away the state from Raman Singh.

 

Congress leaders Charandas Mahant, Tamardhwaj Sahu, leader of opposition TS Singh Deo and state chief Bhupesh Baghel are vying to become the chief minister of the state. The BJP is, however, confident to retain the state for the fourth consecutive term under Raman Singh. The chief minister is again contesting from Rajnandgaon Assembly seat. The Congress has opted for Karuna Shukla, niece of former prime minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee, against the chief minister.

First Published: Friday, December 07, 2018 02:38 PM
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