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RBI keeps interest rate unchanged on concern over Rupee, inflation

Softening Headline Inflation Alone Will No Longer Be Enough To Spur The Reserve Bank Of India To Cut Interest Rates At A Time When It Faces Other Pressing Challenges Such As A Record Low Rupee And The Risk Of Potentially Destabilising Capital Outflows.

Reuters | Updated on: 17 Jun 2013, 11:55:51 AM

Mumbai:

Reserve Bank on Monday kept the key interest rates unchanged citing elevated food inflation, rupee depreciation and uncertainty over foreign fund inflows.

The repo rate at which the RBI lends to the system has been retained at 7.25 per cent, while the cash reserve ratio will continue to be 4 per cent.

"The monetary policy stance has been informed by the evolving growth-inflation dynamics, the balance of risks as well as recent developments in the external sector," RBI Governor D Subbarao said in the mid-quarter policy review.

He specifically cited the decision of the US Fed to trim the growth stimuli in a phased manner and articulated concern over risks coming "on account of uncertainty over policies of systemic central banks."

The May 22 announcement has led to fund outflows from emerging markets, including India, and hence, depreciation in the rupee, which is already facing trouble over the high current account deficit, touching an alarming 6.7 per cent in the December quarter.

To reduce the CAD to a sustainable level; the near term challenge is to finance it through stable flows," the statement said.

Rupee has declined by 5.8 per cent since January 1 and touched a record low of 58.96 to a dollar last week. It was trading at 57.84 during the morning trade.

In its guidance, the RBI, particularly, flagged risks on inflation, saying "it is only a durable receding of inflation that will open up the space for monetary policy to continue to address risks to growth."

The status quo maintained by RBI has dashed hopes of interest rates cut which was widely expected by the market.

The Central Bank had reduced key policy rate (repo rate) by 0.75 per cent during the last three monetary policy announcements.

Following policy announcement, 30-share BSE Sensex fell by 83 points to 19,095.

Following are the highlights of RBI's mid-quarter monetary policy review:

* Key short term lending rate (repo rate) kept unchanged at 7.25 pc

* Cash reserve ratio too unchanged at 4 per cent

* Rupee fall, external sector risks and elevated food inflation areas of concern

* Continuing weakness in manufacturing needs to be urgently reversed

* RBI asks govt to create conducive environment for private investment, improve project clearances to promote growth

* Durable receding of inflation will open space for monetary policy action

* Reducing CAD is a challenge; RBI pitches for stable foreign inflows to finance it

* Steps to curb gold imports, easing commodity prices to lower CAD in 2013-14

* Balance of Payments, inflation and growth rate to determine future monetary stance

* Need to be vigilant about global uncertainty and its impact on capital flows

* RBI ready to use all available instruments to deal with any adverse development in external sector

* Positive rating action should have favourable impact on investor confidence

* First quarter review of policy on July 30.

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First Published : 17 Jun 2013, 09:47:00 AM

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