Opinion Poll | In Pics: NDA likely to get majority, Modi remains popular PM face
Updated On : 09 Apr 2019,12:53 PM
As political ardour is gaining pace ahead of the Lok Sabha elections across India, News Nation has conducted an opinion poll to gauge the voting intention across the country. To get an idea of the people's mood ahead of General Elections, our team has travelled across all the 543 Lok Sabha seats and asked several questions including their top choice for prime minister's post, major issues that should be addressed by the future leaders and the standard of living they had during the tenure of Modi-led BJP government since 2014. The nationwide survey predicts that the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) alliance will sweep a majority of parliamentary seats up for grabs in the election scheduled to be held in seven phases between April 11 and May 19.
According to the pre-poll survey, the NDA will win 278 seats as compared to 128 for the Congress party-led alliance. A total of 543 seats are up for grabs in the polls. While the NDA’s seat share witnesses a downfall as compared to the 2014 general elections, it will comfortably form the next government. On the other hand, the Congress, despite an improved performance, could fall way short of the majority mark of 272.
In terms of vote share too, the opinion poll has predicted 35 per cent of the vote share for the NDA – a fall of 3.5 per cent as compared to 2014. On the other hand, the UPA's vote share may witness a jump from 23 per cent in 2014 to 28 per cent this time.
On the question of which leader they want to see as their next prime minister, the nation once again seems to be majorly in favour of Narendra Modi. As per the survey, 48 per cent of the respondents voted in favour of Modi while 29 per cent chose Rahul Gandhi.
Uttar Pradesh: The alliance between the Samajwadi Party (SP), the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) and the Rashtriya Lok Dal (RLD) is likely to hurt the BJP's prospects in Uttar Pradesh. As per the survey, the SP-BSP-RLD alliance may win 41 of the 80 seats while BJP's seat share may come down from 71 seats in 2014 to 37 this time. The Congress may win on two seats, most likely Amethi and Rae Bareli – the two of the party's strongholds.
Madhya Pradesh: Recovering from the Assembly polls defeat it suffered at the Congress' hands last year, the BJP is expected to win 20 of the 29 seats in the state. The Congress may claim victory on the remaining nine seats, as per the survey.
Rajasthan: The BJP's seat share is likely to witness a considerable downfall as compared to 2014 Lok Sabha polls. As per the opinion poll, the BJP may win 18 seats against the seven seats of the Congress.
Bihar: The BJP-JD(U)-LJP alliance in Bihar is likely to outplay the RJD-led grand alliance in Bihar, with the former is expected to win 31 seats and the latter nine seats. In the 2014 Lok Sabha elections, the BJP-LJP-RLSP alliance had won on 31 seats. Upendra Kushwaha's RLSP has joined hands with the RJD-led grand alliance this time.
West Bengal: Mamata Banerjee's Trinamool Congress is likely to continue its dominance in West Bengal. On the other hand, the BJP is expected to put up a much improved show this time. The survey has predicted victory on 32 seats for Trinamool while the BJP may win nine seats.
Maharashtra: The BJP restoring ties with the Shiv Sena is likely to benefit it in the upcoming Lok Sabha elections in Maharashtra. According to the opinion poll, the NDA is likely to win 32 seats while the Congress-NCP alliance may win only 16 seats.
Jammu and Kashmir: The BJP, the Congress and the National Conference are likely to win two seats each in the state. Last month, the NC and Congress sealed an alliance for three Lok Sabha seats in Jammu and Kashmir and decided to go for friendly contests on three other seats.